Molecular assays have the potential to reveal the true burden of asymptomatic infection in malaria-endemic settings but usually require additional expertise and specific sample collection requirements. For this reason, comparisons of PCR and ultrasensitive PCR (usPCR) detection of malaria in endemic settings are not common and have mostly been limited to low-burden settings pursuing malaria elimination. In such settings, the asymptomatic reservoir as detected by ultrasensitive assays far outweighs cases detectable by conventional rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) or even standard PCR. For example, sensitive loop-mediated isothermal amplification and RT-qPCR assays deployed in southwest Ethiopia detected a roughly 7× greater P. falciparum prevalence versus RDT, 1 whereas ultrasensitive assays implemented in a pre-elimination setting in South Africa detected 3.9% prevalence in a cohort that was completely negative by RDT and nested PCR. 2
It is unclear whether the same degree of excess low-density infections exists in higher transmission settings and whether ultrasensitive assays are needed to capture the infectious reservoir in its entirety in these settings. In this study, we used easily collected dried blood spots (DBS) to compare detection of P. falciparum by a standard DNA-based real-time PCR (qPCR) with an usPCR that targets 18s rRNA transcripts. qPCR was implemented at our field site in Bagamoyo, Tanzania, whereas the usPCR was later performed in a U.S. research laboratory from concurrently collected DBS.
Blood samples were collected from rural Bagamoyo district in eastern Tanzania, where malaria transmission is moderate but declining. Malaria screening was conducted from October to November 2018 at four primary schools in Bagamoyo district (Fukayosi, Mtakuja, Mkenge, and Mwavi) as part of a malaria transmission study. We targeted asymptomatic persons > 5 years of age for screening—defined as those without fever, negative report of fevers or chills in the previous 3 days, and negative report of antimalarial use within the previous 7 days. The median age of those screened during this time period was 10 years (IQR: 8–12 years). Males and females were equally represented (53% and 47%, respectively).
Approximately 200 µL of finger-prick blood was used to simultaneously make thick and thin blood smears, perform a dual antigen histidine-rich protein 2 (HRP2) and pLDH RDT (SD Bioline, Abbott, Columbus, OH), and create 2–3 DBS on Whatman 3 MM filter paper, each with 50 µL of blood. Rapid diagnostic tests were read as positive for P. falciparum if the HRP2 band was present. For qPCR analysis, the entirety of a single 50 µL blood spot was punched into deep well plates and extracted using Chelex resin after overnight incubation in 10% saponin. Extracted DNA was subjected to real-time PCR targeting 18s rRNA as previously described, 3 but modified for use with Sahara Hot Start Master Mix (Chai Biotechnologies Inc, Santa Clara, CA). Duplicate reactions were carried out in portable real-time PCR instruments (Open qPCR, Chai Biotechnologies) situated in a renovated laboratory adjacent to Bagamoyo District Hospital. A sample was considered positive if a single reaction of two was positive with a Ct value < 40 cycles. Parasite densities were quantified based on standards generated from mock blood spots created using 3D7 cultured parasites spiked into whole blood. A human B-tubulin qPCR assay was used to verify adequate DNA extraction in all P. falciparum–positive samples and a subset of negative samples. 4 The limit of detection of this qPCR deployed at the field site has been determined to be 1 parasite/µL (95% CI 0.7, 2.3 p/µL).
Dried blood spot samples collected in Bagamoyo were stored at room temperature and then shipped to the United States, where they were stored at 4°C. Approximately 9 months after collection, usPCR was performed as previously described. 5,6 This multiplex assay amplifies and detects total nucleic acids (DNA and RNA transcripts) of the P. falciparum and Plasmodium vivax 18s rRNA genes. As parasites are estimated to express 103–104 transcripts per parasite, 7 the addition of reverse transcription leads to a highly sensitive assay. Previous studies reported detection limits of 0.016 parasites/µL when performed from 50 µL DBS samples. 6 Samples were selected for usPCR if three total DBS were originally collected (roughly 60% of samples).
Extraction and amplification for usPCR were successful in all DBS samples based on amplification of human actin as an internal control. In addition, as expected, usPCR consistently detected 0.005 parasites/µL in 50 µL DBS standards made from P. falciparum culture-spiked whole blood. The assay was performed in duplicate, and samples were considered positive only if two runs had Ct values < 37. If duplicates were discordant, a third usPCR reaction was performed as a “tie breaker.” Parasite densities were determined based on 50 µL DBS standard curves. P. vivax was not detected in any samples.
Plasmodium falciparum parasite densities in the cohort as determined by qPCR and usPCR were strongly correlated, especially at higher parasite densities. The slope of the linear regression was 0.844 (0.829, 0.859), close to the expected value of one (Pearson’s R 0.995) (Figure 1). This suggests that, despite transport and storage time, 18s rRNA transcripts were relatively stable and remained detectable from DBS at expected levels.

Plasmodium falciparum parasite densities determined by standard PCR and usPCR were in agreement (slope: 0.844, Pearson’s R: 0.995). Note: Error bars (SD) are smaller than symbol size.
Citation: The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 104, 4; 10.4269/ajtmh.20-1233

Plasmodium falciparum parasite densities determined by standard PCR and usPCR were in agreement (slope: 0.844, Pearson’s R: 0.995). Note: Error bars (SD) are smaller than symbol size.
Citation: The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 104, 4; 10.4269/ajtmh.20-1233
Plasmodium falciparum parasite densities determined by standard PCR and usPCR were in agreement (slope: 0.844, Pearson’s R: 0.995). Note: Error bars (SD) are smaller than symbol size.
Citation: The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 104, 4; 10.4269/ajtmh.20-1233
As expected, the measured prevalence of malaria increased with improved analytical assay sensitivity (Figure 2A). Parasite prevalence by microscopy was 14% (44/319). Using conventional RDTs, which typically have detection limits around 100 parasites/µL, 20% (63/319) of individuals were malaria positive. By qPCR, malaria prevalence was significantly greater at 32% (102/319), whereas 37% (118/319) of individuals were malaria positive by usPCR. Thus, usPCR detected almost twice as many infections as RDT, with a more incremental increase from standard PCR.

(A) Prevalence measured by microscopy, rapid diagnostic test (RDT), PCR, and usPCR. (B) Agreement Venn diagram among the RDT, PCR, and usPCR methods. (C) Parasite densities of usPCR + samples by assay positivity. Number of samples in each category: 54 (RDT+/PCR+), 24 (RDT + or PCR+), and 40 (RDT−/PCR−).
Citation: The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 104, 4; 10.4269/ajtmh.20-1233

(A) Prevalence measured by microscopy, rapid diagnostic test (RDT), PCR, and usPCR. (B) Agreement Venn diagram among the RDT, PCR, and usPCR methods. (C) Parasite densities of usPCR + samples by assay positivity. Number of samples in each category: 54 (RDT+/PCR+), 24 (RDT + or PCR+), and 40 (RDT−/PCR−).
Citation: The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 104, 4; 10.4269/ajtmh.20-1233
(A) Prevalence measured by microscopy, rapid diagnostic test (RDT), PCR, and usPCR. (B) Agreement Venn diagram among the RDT, PCR, and usPCR methods. (C) Parasite densities of usPCR + samples by assay positivity. Number of samples in each category: 54 (RDT+/PCR+), 24 (RDT + or PCR+), and 40 (RDT−/PCR−).
Citation: The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 104, 4; 10.4269/ajtmh.20-1233
Our finding supports the idea that as malaria prevalence increases, the proportion of additionally detected ultralow-density infections seems to diminish, similar to patterns seen in other studies 8,9 (Table 1). In Rufiji, Tanzania, where light microscopy prevalence was 25%, the detection of low-density parasitemias was double by qPCR (50%), but only incrementally more by usPCR (58%). 10 Similarly, in a Papua New Guinea cohort, where P. falciparum qPCR prevalence was 29%, the multi-target var ATS usPCR detected incrementally more infections (33%), whereas the high-volume multi-target usPCR detected a prevalence of 53%, still not quite double the qPCR prevalence. 11 By contrast, in lower burden settings, the reservoir of ultralow-density parasitemias unmasked by usPCR is many times greater than that readily identified by RDT or microscopy 1,2 (Table 1).
The proportion of additionally detected infections by ultrasensitive molecular methods is associated with transmission intensity
Reference | Setting | N | Plasmodium falciparum prevalence by detection method, % | Ratio | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Microscopy/RDT | Standard PCR* | usPCR* | ||||
LOD 50–200 p/µL | LOD: 0.1–10 p/µL | LOD: 0.002–0.2 p/µL | ||||
Awandu et al. 2 | South Africa | 1,475 | 0 | 0 | 3.9 | N/A |
Gruenberg et al. 9 | Brazil | 651 | – | 0.80 | 1.7 | --: 1: 2.1 |
Gruenberg et al. 9 | Thailand | 773 | – | 1.3 | 1.9 | --: 1: 1.5 |
Gruenberg et al. 9 | Papua New Guinea | 828 | – | 8.6 | 12.2 | --: 1: 1.4 |
Girma et al. 1 | Gambella region, Ethiopia | 562 | 2.0† | 13‡ | 21.5 | 0.15: 1: 1.7 |
Hofmann et al. 11 | Madang Province, Papua New Guinea | 300 | 8.1 | 29 | 33 | 0.28: 1: 1.1 |
53 (high-volume) | ||||||
This work | Bagamoyo, Tanzania | 319 | 17† | 32 | 37 | 0.53: 1: 1.2 |
Hofmann et al. 10 | Rufiji, Tanzania | 498 | 25 | 50 | 58 | 0.50: 1: 1.2 |
RDT = rapid diagnostic tests. Standard PCRs all targeted 18s rRNA, either as a nested PCR (Awandu), (Gambella) or a real-time qPCR [Gruenberg], [Hofmann], this work.
Ultrasensitive PCR methods differed by study: (Awandu) TARE-2 qPCR, (Gruenberg) varATS, (Girma) 18s rRNA qRT-PCR, [Hofmann 2018] varATS, this work: 18s rRNA qRT-PCR (usPCR), (Hofmann et al. 10 ) TARE-2/varATS qPCR.
Average of prevalence values reported for microscopy and RDT.
Estimated based on a sub-study of 48 of the usPCR-positive samples. 12
Concordance of P. falciparum detection among RDT, qPCR, and usPCR mostly aligned with expectation based on test characteristics (Figure 2A). All RDT-positive samples were also positive by usPCR. There were a number of qPCR-positive samples that were usPCR negative (n = 33). If stringency for qPCR positivity is increased and requires both duplicates to have Ct < 40, then only 15 samples fall into this category. This discrepancy between the two methods is probably explained by low-level RNA degradation during sample transport, storage, or extraction. In total, usPCR detected an additional 49 malaria-positive individuals compared with qPCR. The median parasite density for samples detectable only by usPCR was very low: < 0.05 parasites/µL or 50 parasites/mL (IQR: < 0.05 – < 0.05 parasites/µL) (Figure 2C).
Regions where malaria is commonplace are expected to have a higher number of false-positive RDTs arising from recent treatment, due to persistence of HRP2 at detectable levels within the circulation for weeks after treatment. 13 Indeed, seven samples were RDT positive but negative by microscopy and qPCR. These same samples were positive by usPCR as well. We have observed that 18S rRNA transcripts are detectable up to 2 weeks after successful treatment (unpublished), likely expressed by circulating gametocytes present at low levels after treatment. 14,15 In further support of this possibility, we additionally tested DBS from three subjects who were RDT positive but qPCR negative for both asexual parasites (18s rRNA) and gametocytes (Pfs25 and PF3D7_0630000 assays), yet were infectious to mosquitoes. 16 Two reported ACT treatment within the previous 28 days. We found that all were usPCR positive, suggesting persistent HRP2 antigen may coincide with ultralow-level gametocytemia posttreatment. Thus, a fraction of the surfeit of purported very low–density parasitemias (7/49 or 14% here) may actually represent previous infection or posttreatment gametocytemia in settings where malaria and its treatment are commonplace.
Unfortunately, the contribution of very low–density infections detectable only by usPCR to malaria transmission in settings like Bagamoyo remains unknown. In theory, even very low–density infections have the potential to become higher density infections; the transmission potential of these infections probably depends on their chronicity and dynamics, as well as how frequently they generate transmissible gametocyte densities. 17–20 Within this sample set, a subset of 27 subjects were enrolled into a malaria transmission study and thus evaluated using gametocyte-specific RT-PCR assays within days of malaria screening. Twenty of 27 samples were positive for gametocytes, with 19/20 positive by 18s rRNA qPCR. This suggests that usPCR may provide diminishing returns with regard to identifying the infectious reservoir, but the sample size was small, and RDT-/PCR-/usPCR + subjects were not included. Ongoing, longitudinal mosquito skin feeding assays and gametocyte assays will reveal the extent to which asymptomatic low-density infections contribute to the infectious reservoir in this setting. 16
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
We thank the study participants, school teachers, as well as the Tanzanian field staff who made the study possible. This work was supported by the NIH Grant R01AI137395 (to J. T. L.), the North Carolina Translational and Clinical Sciences (NC TraCS) Institute (UL1TR002489), NIH Grant U19AI129386 (to M. M. N. and C. V. P.), the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1171753), and the Duke Global Health Institute.
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