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Reference Manager
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1.
Alam M et al.., 2006. Seasonal cholera caused by Vibrio cholerae serogroups O1 and O139 in the coastal aquatic environment of Bangladesh. Appl Environ Microbiol 72: 4096–4104.
-
2.
Ali M, Emch M, Donnay JP, Yunus M, Sack RB, 2002. Identifying environmental risk factors for endemic cholera: a raster GIS approach. Health Place 8: 201–210.
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3.
Cash BA, Rodó X, Emch M, Yunus M, Faruque ASG, Pascual M, 2014. Cholera and shigellosis: different epidemiology but similar responses to climate variability. PLoS One 9: e107223.
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4.
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Jutla A, Aldaach H, Akanda AS, Huq A, Colwell RR, 2015. Satellite based assessment of hydroclimatic conditions related to cholera in Zimbabwe. PLoS One 10: e0137828.
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11.
Jutla A, Whitcombe E, Hasan N, Haley B, Akanda A, Huq A, Alam M, Sack RB, Colwell R, 2013. Environmental factors influencing epidemic cholera. Am J Trop Med Hyg 89: 597–607.
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12.
Finger F, Knox A, Bertuzzo E, Mari L, Bompangue D, Gatto M, Rodriguez-Iturbe I, Rinaldo A, 2014. Cholera in the Lake Kivu region (DRC): integrating remote sensing and spatially explicit epidemiological modeling. Water Resour Res 50: 5624–5637.
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13.
Akanda AS, Jutla AS, Gute DM, Sack RB, Alam M, Huq A, Colwell RR, Islam S, 2013. Population vulnerability to biannual cholera outbreaks and associated macro-scale drivers in the Bengal Delta. Am J Trop Med Hyg 89: 950–959.
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Hasan NA et al.., 2012. Genomic diversity of 2010 Haitian cholera outbreak strains. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 109: E2010–E2017.
| Past two years | Past Year | Past 30 Days | |
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Assessment of Risk of Cholera in Haiti following Hurricane Matthew
Rakib Khan
Rakib Khan
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia;
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Rifat Anwar
Rifat Anwar
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia;
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Shafqat Akanda
Shafqat Akanda
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, Rhode Island;
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Michael D. McDonald
Michael D. McDonald
Global Health Response and Resilience Alliance, Washington, District of Columbia; Health Initiatives Foundation, Inc., Washington, District of Columbia;
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Anwar Huq
Anwar Huq
Maryland Pathogen Research Institute, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland;
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Antarpreet Jutla
Antarpreet Jutla
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, West Virginia University, Morgantown, West Virginia;
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Rita Colwell
Rita Colwell
Maryland Pathogen Research Institute, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland;
Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland;
Center for Bioinformatics and Computational Biology, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland
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Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland;
Center for Bioinformatics and Computational Biology, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland
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Damage to the inferior and fragile water and sanitation infrastructure of Haiti after Hurricane Matthew has created an urgent public health emergency in terms of likelihood of cholera occurring in the human population. Using satellite-derived data on precipitation, gridded air temperature, and hurricane path and with information on water and sanitation (WASH) infrastructure, we tracked changing environmental conditions conducive for growth of pathogenic vibrios. Based on these data, we predicted and validated the likelihood of cholera cases occurring past hurricane. The risk of cholera in the southwestern part of Haiti remained relatively high since November 2016 to the present. Findings of this study provide a contemporary process for monitoring ground conditions that can guide public health intervention to control cholera in human population by providing access to vaccines, safe WASH facilities. Assuming current social and behavioral patterns remain constant, it is recommended that WASH infrastructure should be improved and considered a priority especially before 2017 rainy season.
Author Notes
Authors’ addresses: Rakib Khan, Rifat Anwar, and Antarpreet Jutla, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, West Virginia University, WV, E-mails: mnkhan@mix.wvu.edu, ra0009@mix.wvu.edu, and asjutla@mail.wvu.edu. Shafqat Akanda, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, RI, E-mail: akanda@egr.uri.edu. Michael D. McDonald, Global Health Response and Resilience Alliance, Washington, DC, E-mail: michael.d.mcdonald@mac.com. Anwar Huq and Rita Colwell, Department of Microbiology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, E-mails: huq@umd.edu and rcolwell@umiacs.umd.
ProCite
RefWorks
Reference Manager
BibTeX
Zotero
EndNote
-
1.
Alam M et al.., 2006. Seasonal cholera caused by Vibrio cholerae serogroups O1 and O139 in the coastal aquatic environment of Bangladesh. Appl Environ Microbiol 72: 4096–4104.
-
2.
Ali M, Emch M, Donnay JP, Yunus M, Sack RB, 2002. Identifying environmental risk factors for endemic cholera: a raster GIS approach. Health Place 8: 201–210.
-
3.
Cash BA, Rodó X, Emch M, Yunus M, Faruque ASG, Pascual M, 2014. Cholera and shigellosis: different epidemiology but similar responses to climate variability. PLoS One 9: e107223.
-
4.
Faruque SM, Naser IB, Islam MJ, Faruque ASG, Ghosh AN, Nair GB, Sack DA, Mekalanos JJ, 2005. Seasonal epidemics of cholera inversely correlate with the prevalence of environmental cholera phages. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 102: 1702–1707.
-
5.
Hashizume M, Wagatsuma Y, Hayashi T, Saha SK, Streatfield K, Yunus M, 2009. The effect of temperature on mortality in rural Bangladesh–a population-based time-series study. Int J Epidemiol 38: 1689–1697.
-
6.
Huq A et al.., 2005. Critical factors influencing the occurrence of Vibrio cholerae in the environment of Bangladesh. Appl Environ Microbiol 71: 4645–4654.
-
7.
Jutla A, Aldaach H, Akanda AS, Huq A, Colwell RR, 2015. Satellite based assessment of hydroclimatic conditions related to cholera in Zimbabwe. PLoS One 10: e0137828.
-
8.
Rinaldo A, Rigon R, Banavar JR, Maritan A, Rodriguez-Iturbe I, 2014. Evolution and selection of river networks: statics, dynamics, and complexity. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 111: 2417–2424.
-
9.
Singleton FL, Attwell RW, Jangi MS, Colwell RR, 1982. Influence of salinity and organic nutrient concentration on survival and growth of Vibrio cholerae in aquatic microcosms. Appl Environ Microbiol 43: 1080–1085.
-
10.
Pascual M, 2000. Cholera dynamics and El Nino-southern oscillation. Science 289: 1766–1769.
-
11.
Jutla A, Whitcombe E, Hasan N, Haley B, Akanda A, Huq A, Alam M, Sack RB, Colwell R, 2013. Environmental factors influencing epidemic cholera. Am J Trop Med Hyg 89: 597–607.
-
12.
Finger F, Knox A, Bertuzzo E, Mari L, Bompangue D, Gatto M, Rodriguez-Iturbe I, Rinaldo A, 2014. Cholera in the Lake Kivu region (DRC): integrating remote sensing and spatially explicit epidemiological modeling. Water Resour Res 50: 5624–5637.
-
13.
Akanda AS, Jutla AS, Gute DM, Sack RB, Alam M, Huq A, Colwell RR, Islam S, 2013. Population vulnerability to biannual cholera outbreaks and associated macro-scale drivers in the Bengal Delta. Am J Trop Med Hyg 89: 950–959.
-
14.
Bartlett JG, 2008. Infectious diseases associated with natural disasters. The Social Ecology of Infectious Diseases. Elsevier, 351–377. Available at: http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/B9780123704665500182. Accessed March 16, 2016.
-
15.
Watson JT, Gayer M, Connolly MA, 2007. Epidemics after natural disasters. Emerg Infect Dis 13: 1–5.
-
16.
Colwell RR, 1996. Global climate and infectious disease: the cholera paradigm. Science 274: 2025–2031.
-
17.
Huq A, Small EB, West PA, Huq MI, Rahman R, Colwell RR, 1983. Ecological relationships between Vibrio cholerae and planktonic crustacean copepods. Appl Environ Microbiol 45: 275–283.
-
18.
Koelle K, Rodó X, Pascual M, Yunus M, Mostafa G, 2005. Refractory periods and climate forcing in cholera dynamics. Nature 436: 696–700.
-
19.
Bartram J, 2008. Flowing away: water and health opportunities. Bull World Health Organ 86: 2.
-
20.
Eppinger M et al.., 2014. Genomic epidemiology of the Haitian cholera outbreak: a single introduction followed by rapid, extensive, and continued spread characterized the onset of the epidemic. MBio 5: e01721.
-
21.
Frerichs RR, Keim PS, Barrais R, Piarroux R, 2012. Nepalese origin of cholera epidemic in Haiti. Clin Microbiol Infect 18: E158–E163.
-
22.
Codeco CT, Lele S, Pascual M, Bouma M, Ko AI, 2008. A stochastic model for ecological systems with strong nonlinear response to environmental drivers: application to two water-borne diseases. J R Soc Interface 5: 247–252.
-
23.
Hasan NA et al.., 2012. Genomic diversity of 2010 Haitian cholera outbreak strains. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 109: E2010–E2017.
| Past two years | Past Year | Past 30 Days | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abstract Views | 553 | 440 | 18 |
| Full Text Views | 819 | 32 | 1 |
| PDF Downloads | 427 | 28 | 3 |