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-
1.
Sharmin S, Viennet E, Glass K, Harley D, 2015. The emergence of dengue in Bangladesh: epidemiology, challenges and future disease risk. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 109: 619–627.
-
2.
Bhatt S, Gething PW, Brady OJ, Messina JP, Farlow AW, Moyes CL, Drake JM, Brownstein JS, Hoen AG, Sankoh O, Myers MF, George DB, Jaenisch T, Wint GR, Simmons CP, Scott TW, Farrar JJ, Hay SI, 2013. The global distribution and burden of dengue. Nature 496: 504–507.
-
3.
Pham HV, Doan HT, Phan TT, Minh NN, 2011. Ecological factors associated with dengue fever in a Central Highlands province, Vietnam. BMC Infect Dis 11: 172.
-
4.
Johansson MA, Cummings DA, Glass GE, 2009. Multiyear climate variability and dengue—El Nino southern oscillation, weather, and dengue incidence in Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Thailand: a longitudinal data analysis. PLoS Med 6: e1000168.
-
5.
Limkittikul K, Brett J, L'Azou M, 2014. Epidemiological trends of dengue disease in Thailand (2000–2011): a systematic literature review. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 8: e3241.
-
6.
Bravo L, Roque VG, Brett J, Dizon R, L'Azou M, 2014. Epidemiology of dengue disease in the Philippines (2000–2011): a systematic literature review. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 8: e3027.
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7.
Quang Ha D, Quan Huan T, 1997. Dengue activity in Vietnam and its control programme 1997–1998. Dengue Bull 21: 35–43.
-
8.
Karim MN, Munshi SU, Anwar N, Alam MS, 2012. Climatic factors influencing dengue cases in Dhaka city: a model for dengue prediction. Indian J Med Res 136: 32–39.
-
9.
Sharmin S, Glass K, Viennet E, Harley D, 2015. Interaction of mean temperature and daily fluctuation influences dengue incidence in Dhaka, Bangladesh. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 9: e0003901.
-
10.
Sang CT, Hoon LS, Cuzzubbo A, Devine P, 1998. Clinical evaluation of a rapid immunochromatographic test for the diagnosis of dengue virus infection. Clin Diagn Lab Immunol 5: 407–409.
-
11.
Cuong HQ, Hien NT, Duong TN, Phong TV, Cam NN, Farrar J, Nam VS, Thai KT, Horby P, 2011. Quantifying the emergence of dengue in Hanoi, Vietnam: 1998–2009. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 5: e1322.
-
12.
Xuan Le TT, Van Hau P, Thu Do T, Toan Do TT, 2014. Estimates of meteorological variability in association with dengue cases in a coastal city in northern Vietnam: an ecological study. Glob Health Action 7: 23119.
-
13.
Velasco JM, Alera MT, Ypil-Cardenas CA, Dimaano EM, Jarman RG, Chinnawirotpisan P, Thaisomboonsuk B, Yoon IK, Cummings DA, Mammen MP Jr, 2014. Demographic, clinical and laboratory findings among adult and pediatric patients hospitalized with dengue in the Philippines. Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health 45: 337–345.
-
14.
Campbell KM, Lin CD, Iamsirithaworn S, Scott TW, 2013. The complex relationship between weather and dengue virus transmission in Thailand. Am J Trop Med Hyg 89: 1066–1080.
-
15.
Faruque LI, Zaman RU, Alamgir AS, Gurley ES, Haque R, Rahman M, Luby SP, 2012. Hospital-based prevalence of malaria and dengue in febrile patients in Bangladesh. Am J Trop Med Hyg 86: 58–64.
-
16.
Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Planning, 2010. Report of the Household Income and Expenditure Survey 2010. Dhaka, Bangladesh: Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics, 27.
-
17.
Bhatia R, Dash AP, Sunyoto T, 2013. Changing epidemiology of dengue in south-east Asia. WHO South East Asia J Public Health 2: 23–27.
-
18.
Nisalak A, Endy TP, Nimmannitya S, Kalayanarooj S, Thisayakorn U, Scott RM, Burke DS, Hoke CH, Innis BL, Vaughn DW, 2003. Serotype-specific dengue virus circulation and dengue disease in Bangkok, Thailand from 1973 to 1999. Am J Trop Med Hyg 68: 191–202.
-
19.
Center for Vaccine Sciences, icddr,b, 2014. Seroprevalence of dengue virus infection in Dhaka, Bangladesh, 2012. Health Sci Bull 12: 1–6.
-
20.
Paul RC, Rahman M, Gurley ES, Hossain MJ, Diorditsa S, Hasan AM, Banu SS, Alamgir A, Rahman MA, Sandhu H, Fischer M, Luby SP, 2011. A novel low-cost approach to estimate the incidence of Japanese encephalitis in the catchment area of three hospitals in Bangladesh. Am J Trop Med Hyg 85: 379–385.
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Seasonal Distribution and Climatic Correlates of Dengue Disease in Dhaka, Bangladesh
Ivonne Morales
Ivonne Morales
Section on Membrane and Cellular Biophysics, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, Maryland; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland; Child Health Research Foundation, Department of Microbiology, Dhaka Shishu Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh; Department of Microbiology, Popular Diagnostic Centre, Dhaka, Bangladesh; International Center for Diarrheal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh; Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France
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Henrik Salje
Henrik Salje
Section on Membrane and Cellular Biophysics, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, Maryland; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland; Child Health Research Foundation, Department of Microbiology, Dhaka Shishu Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh; Department of Microbiology, Popular Diagnostic Centre, Dhaka, Bangladesh; International Center for Diarrheal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh; Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France
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Samir Saha
Samir Saha
Section on Membrane and Cellular Biophysics, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, Maryland; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland; Child Health Research Foundation, Department of Microbiology, Dhaka Shishu Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh; Department of Microbiology, Popular Diagnostic Centre, Dhaka, Bangladesh; International Center for Diarrheal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh; Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France
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Emily S. Gurley
Emily S. Gurley
Section on Membrane and Cellular Biophysics, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, Maryland; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland; Child Health Research Foundation, Department of Microbiology, Dhaka Shishu Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh; Department of Microbiology, Popular Diagnostic Centre, Dhaka, Bangladesh; International Center for Diarrheal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh; Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France
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Dengue has been regularly reported in Dhaka, Bangladesh, since a large outbreak in 2000. However, to date, we have limited information on the seasonal distribution of dengue disease and how case distribution correlates with climate. Here, we analyzed dengue cases detected at a private diagnostic facility in Dhaka during 2010–2014. We calculated Pearson cross-correlation coefficients to examine the relationship between the timing of cases and both rainfall and temperature. There were 2,334 cases diagnosed during the study period with 76% over the age of 15 years. Cases were reported in every month of the study; however, 90% of cases occurred between June and November. Increases in rainfall were correlated with increases in cases 2 months later (correlation of 0.7). The large proportion of adult cases is consistent with substantial population susceptibility and suggests Dhaka remains at risk for outbreaks. Although cases occurred year-round, public health preparedness should be focused during peak months.
Author Notes
Financial support: This research study was funded by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, under the cooperative agreement (grant no. 1U01GH001207-01).
Authors' addresses: Ivonne Morales, Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, and Section on Membrane and Cellular Biophysics, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, MD, E-mail: imorale1@jhu.edu. Henrik Salje, Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, and Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France, E-mail: hsalje1@jhu.edu. Samir Saha, Child Health Research Foundation, Department of Microbiology, Dhaka Shishu Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh, and Department of Microbiology, Popular Diagnostic Center, Dhaka, Bangladesh, E-mail: samir.sks@gmail.com. Emily S. Gurley, Programme on Emerging Infections, icddr,b, Dhaka, Bangladesh, and Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, E-mail: egurley@icddrb.org.
ProCite
RefWorks
Reference Manager
BibTeX
Zotero
EndNote
-
1.
Sharmin S, Viennet E, Glass K, Harley D, 2015. The emergence of dengue in Bangladesh: epidemiology, challenges and future disease risk. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 109: 619–627.
-
2.
Bhatt S, Gething PW, Brady OJ, Messina JP, Farlow AW, Moyes CL, Drake JM, Brownstein JS, Hoen AG, Sankoh O, Myers MF, George DB, Jaenisch T, Wint GR, Simmons CP, Scott TW, Farrar JJ, Hay SI, 2013. The global distribution and burden of dengue. Nature 496: 504–507.
-
3.
Pham HV, Doan HT, Phan TT, Minh NN, 2011. Ecological factors associated with dengue fever in a Central Highlands province, Vietnam. BMC Infect Dis 11: 172.
-
4.
Johansson MA, Cummings DA, Glass GE, 2009. Multiyear climate variability and dengue—El Nino southern oscillation, weather, and dengue incidence in Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Thailand: a longitudinal data analysis. PLoS Med 6: e1000168.
-
5.
Limkittikul K, Brett J, L'Azou M, 2014. Epidemiological trends of dengue disease in Thailand (2000–2011): a systematic literature review. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 8: e3241.
-
6.
Bravo L, Roque VG, Brett J, Dizon R, L'Azou M, 2014. Epidemiology of dengue disease in the Philippines (2000–2011): a systematic literature review. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 8: e3027.
-
7.
Quang Ha D, Quan Huan T, 1997. Dengue activity in Vietnam and its control programme 1997–1998. Dengue Bull 21: 35–43.
-
8.
Karim MN, Munshi SU, Anwar N, Alam MS, 2012. Climatic factors influencing dengue cases in Dhaka city: a model for dengue prediction. Indian J Med Res 136: 32–39.
-
9.
Sharmin S, Glass K, Viennet E, Harley D, 2015. Interaction of mean temperature and daily fluctuation influences dengue incidence in Dhaka, Bangladesh. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 9: e0003901.
-
10.
Sang CT, Hoon LS, Cuzzubbo A, Devine P, 1998. Clinical evaluation of a rapid immunochromatographic test for the diagnosis of dengue virus infection. Clin Diagn Lab Immunol 5: 407–409.
-
11.
Cuong HQ, Hien NT, Duong TN, Phong TV, Cam NN, Farrar J, Nam VS, Thai KT, Horby P, 2011. Quantifying the emergence of dengue in Hanoi, Vietnam: 1998–2009. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 5: e1322.
-
12.
Xuan Le TT, Van Hau P, Thu Do T, Toan Do TT, 2014. Estimates of meteorological variability in association with dengue cases in a coastal city in northern Vietnam: an ecological study. Glob Health Action 7: 23119.
-
13.
Velasco JM, Alera MT, Ypil-Cardenas CA, Dimaano EM, Jarman RG, Chinnawirotpisan P, Thaisomboonsuk B, Yoon IK, Cummings DA, Mammen MP Jr, 2014. Demographic, clinical and laboratory findings among adult and pediatric patients hospitalized with dengue in the Philippines. Southeast Asian J Trop Med Public Health 45: 337–345.
-
14.
Campbell KM, Lin CD, Iamsirithaworn S, Scott TW, 2013. The complex relationship between weather and dengue virus transmission in Thailand. Am J Trop Med Hyg 89: 1066–1080.
-
15.
Faruque LI, Zaman RU, Alamgir AS, Gurley ES, Haque R, Rahman M, Luby SP, 2012. Hospital-based prevalence of malaria and dengue in febrile patients in Bangladesh. Am J Trop Med Hyg 86: 58–64.
-
16.
Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Planning, 2010. Report of the Household Income and Expenditure Survey 2010. Dhaka, Bangladesh: Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics, 27.
-
17.
Bhatia R, Dash AP, Sunyoto T, 2013. Changing epidemiology of dengue in south-east Asia. WHO South East Asia J Public Health 2: 23–27.
-
18.
Nisalak A, Endy TP, Nimmannitya S, Kalayanarooj S, Thisayakorn U, Scott RM, Burke DS, Hoke CH, Innis BL, Vaughn DW, 2003. Serotype-specific dengue virus circulation and dengue disease in Bangkok, Thailand from 1973 to 1999. Am J Trop Med Hyg 68: 191–202.
-
19.
Center for Vaccine Sciences, icddr,b, 2014. Seroprevalence of dengue virus infection in Dhaka, Bangladesh, 2012. Health Sci Bull 12: 1–6.
-
20.
Paul RC, Rahman M, Gurley ES, Hossain MJ, Diorditsa S, Hasan AM, Banu SS, Alamgir A, Rahman MA, Sandhu H, Fischer M, Luby SP, 2011. A novel low-cost approach to estimate the incidence of Japanese encephalitis in the catchment area of three hospitals in Bangladesh. Am J Trop Med Hyg 85: 379–385.
| Past two years | Past Year | Past 30 Days | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abstract Views | 632 | 388 | 25 |
| Full Text Views | 694 | 15 | 0 |
| PDF Downloads | 339 | 16 | 0 |