Sentinel Chicken Seroconversions Track Tangential Transmission of West Nile Virus to Humans in the Greater Los Angeles Area of California

Jennifer L. Kwan Center for Vectorborne Diseases, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Davis, California; Greater Los Angeles County Vector Control District, Los Angeles, California; Department of Public Health Sciences, School of Medicine, University of California, Davis, California

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Susanne Kluh Center for Vectorborne Diseases, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Davis, California; Greater Los Angeles County Vector Control District, Los Angeles, California; Department of Public Health Sciences, School of Medicine, University of California, Davis, California

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Minoo B. Madon Center for Vectorborne Diseases, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Davis, California; Greater Los Angeles County Vector Control District, Los Angeles, California; Department of Public Health Sciences, School of Medicine, University of California, Davis, California

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Danh V. Nguyen Center for Vectorborne Diseases, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Davis, California; Greater Los Angeles County Vector Control District, Los Angeles, California; Department of Public Health Sciences, School of Medicine, University of California, Davis, California

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Christopher M. Barker Center for Vectorborne Diseases, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Davis, California; Greater Los Angeles County Vector Control District, Los Angeles, California; Department of Public Health Sciences, School of Medicine, University of California, Davis, California

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William K. Reisen Center for Vectorborne Diseases, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Davis, California; Greater Los Angeles County Vector Control District, Los Angeles, California; Department of Public Health Sciences, School of Medicine, University of California, Davis, California

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In Los Angeles, California, West Nile virus (WNV) has followed a pattern of emergence, amplification, subsidence, and resurgence. A time series cross-correlation analysis of human case counts and sentinel chicken seroconversions revealed temporal concordance indicating that chicken seroconversions tracked tangential transmission of WNV from the basic passeriform-Culex amplification cycle to humans rather than antecedent enzootic amplification. Sentinel seroconversions provided the location and time of transmission as opposed to human cases, which frequently were reported late and were assumed to be acquired 2–14 days before disease onset at their residence. Cox models revealed that warming degree-days were associated with the increased risk of seroconversion, whereas elevated herd immunity in peridomestic birds dampened seroconversion risk. Spatially, surveillance data collected within a 5 km radius of flock locations 15–28 days before the bleed date were most predictive of a seroconversion. In urban Los Angeles, sentinel chicken seroconversions could be used as an outcome measure in decision support for emergency intervention.

Author Notes

*Address correspondence to William K. Reisen, Center for Vectorborne Diseases, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Old Davis Road, Davis, CA 95616. E-mail: wkreisen@ucdavis.edu

Financial support: This research was supported, in part, by grant R01-AI055607-01 from the National Institutes of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, NIH, and grant RM08-6044 from the National Air and Space Administration NASA Applied Sciences Program Decision Support through Earth Science Research Results. WKR acknowledges funding support from the RAPIDD program of the Science & Technology Directorate, Department of Homeland Security, and the Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health. DVN acknowledges support from grant RR024146 from the National Center for Research Resources. Additional funding and resources were provided by the Greater Los Angeles County Vector Control District and supplemental funds for surveillance by the ELC program of the CDC and the California Department of Public Health.

Disclosure: The collection, banding, and bleeding of wild birds was done under protocols 11184 and 12889 and approved by the Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee of the University of California, Davis; Master Station Federal Bird Banding permit 22763 issued by the U.S. Geological Survey, California; Resident Scientific Collection permits by the State of California Department of Fish and Game, and Federal Fish and Wildlife permit no. MB082812-0. The husbandry and bleeding of sentinel chickens was done under protocols 11186 and 12878 approved by the Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee of the University of California, Davis. Use of arboviruses was approved under Biological Use Authorizations #0554 and #0873 issued by the Environmental Health and Safety Committee of the University of California, Davis, and USDA permit #47901.

Authors' addresses: Jennifer L. Kwan, Christopher M. Barker, and William K. Reisen, Center for Vectorborne Diseases, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Davis, CA, E-mails: jnwilson@ucdavis.edu, cmbarker@ucdavis.edu, and wkreisen@ucdavis.edu. Susanne Kluh and Minoo B. Madon, Greater Los Angeles County Vector Control District, Santa Fe Springs, CA, E-mails: skluh@glacvcd.org and minoovecterminator@yahoo.com. Danh V. Nguyen, Department of Public Health Sciences, School of Medicine, University of California, Davis, CA, E-mail: ucdnguyen@ucdavis.edu.

Reprint requests: W. K. Reisen, Center for Vectorborne Diseases, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Old Davis Road, Davis, CA 95616, E-mail: wkreisen@ucdavis.edu.

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