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-
1
Gage KL, Ostfeld RS, Olson JG, 1995. Nonviral vector-borne zoonoses associated with mammals in the United States. J Mammal 76 :695–715.
-
2
Gage KL, Kosoy MY, 2005. Natural history of plague: perspectives from more than a century of research. Annu Rev Entomol 50 :505–528.
-
3
Levy CE, Gage KL, 1999. Plague in the United States, 1995–1997. Infect Med 16 :54–64.
-
4
MMWR, 2002. Imported plague: New York City, 2002. MMWR 52 :725–728.
-
5
MMWR, 2006. Human plague—four states, 2006. MMWR 55 :1–3.
-
6
Craven RB, Maupin GO, Beard ML, Quan TJ, Barnes AM, 1993. Reported cases of human plague infections in the United States, 1970–1991. J Med Entomol 30 :758–761.
-
7
Barnes AM, 1982. Surveillance and control of bubonic plague in the United States. Symp Zool Soc Lond 50 :237–270.
-
8
Craven RB, Barnes AM, 1991. Plague and tularemia. Infect Dis Clin N Am 5 :165–175.
-
9
Mann JM, Martone WJ, Boyce JM, Kaufmann AF, Barnes AM, Weber NS, 1979. Endemic human plague in New Mexico: risk factors associated with infection. J Infect Dis 140 :397–401.
-
10
Dennis DT, 1998. Plague as an emerging disease. Scheld WM, Craig WA, Hughes JM, eds. Emerging Infections 2. Washington, D.C.: ASM Press.
-
11
Fielding AH, Bell JF, 1997. A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environ Conserv 24 :38–49.
-
12
Thompson BC, Crist PJ, Prior-Magee JS, Deitner RA, Garer DL, Hughes MA, 1996. Gap Analysis of Biological Diversity Conservation in New Mexico Using Geographical Information Systems. Final Gap Analysis Report. Las Cruces, NM: United States Department of the Interior, New Mexico Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit.
-
13
Akaike H, 1974. A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Trans Automatic Control 19 :716–723.
-
14
Burnham KP, Anderson DR, 1988. Model Selection and Inference: A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach. New York: Springer-Verlag.
-
15
Guisan A, Zimmerman NE, 2000. Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecol Modeling 135 :147–186.
-
16
Gage KL, 1998. Plague. Colier L, Balows A, Sussman M, eds. Topley and Wilson’s Microbiology and Microbial Infections. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 885.
-
17
MacCracken JG, Uresk DW, Hansen RM, 1985. Rodent-vegetation relationships in southeastern Montana. Northwest Sci 59 :272–278.
-
18
Gage KL, Montenieri JA, Thomas RE, 1994. The role of predators in the ecology, epidemiology, and surveillance of plague in the United States. Proceedings of the 16th Vertebrate Pest Conference, Santa Clara, CA, March 1–3, 1994. Davis, CA: University of California at Davis, 200–206.
-
19
Salkeld DJ, Stapp P, 2006. Seroprevalence rates and transmission of plague (Yersinia pestis) in mammalian carnivores. Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis 6 :231–239.
-
20
Poland JD, 1989. Plague. Hoeprich PD, Jordan MC, eds. Infectious Diseases: A Modern Treatise of Infectious Processes, 4th ed. Philadelphia: J.B. Lippincott Company, 1050–1060.
-
21
Poland JD, Barnes AM, 1979. Plague. Steele JH, ed. CRC Handbook Series in Zoonoses. Section A: Bacterial, Rickettsial and Mycotic Diseases, Vol. I. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press Inc., 515–559.
-
22
Enscore RE, Biggerstaff BJ, Brown TL, Fulgham RF, Reynolds PJ, Engelthaler DM, Levy CE, Parmenter RR, Montenieri JA, Cheek JE, Grinnell RK, Ettestad PJ, Gage KL, 2002. Modeling relationships between climate and the frequency of human plague cases in the southwestern United States, 1960–1997. Am J Trop Med Hyg 66 :186–196.
-
23
Parmenter RR, Yadav EP, Parmenter CA, Ettestad P, Gage KL, 1999. Incidence of plague associated with increased winter–spring precipitation in New Mexico. Am J Trop Med Hyg 61 :814–821.
| Past two years | Past Year | Past 30 Days | |
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| Abstract Views | 707 | 641 | 15 |
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Residence-Linked Human Plague in New Mexico: A Habitat-Suitability Model
Rebecca J. Eisen
Rebecca J. Eisen
Division of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, P.O. Box 2087, Fort Collins, Colorado 80522; Zoonoses Program, New Mexico Department of Health, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Vector Control Program, New Mexico Environment Department, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Division of Epidemiology and Disease Prevention, Indian Health Services, 5300 Homestead Rd., NE, Albuquerque, New Mexico; City of Albuquerque Division of Environmental Health, Albuquerque, New Mexico
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Pamela J. Reynolds
Pamela J. Reynolds
Division of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, P.O. Box 2087, Fort Collins, Colorado 80522; Zoonoses Program, New Mexico Department of Health, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Vector Control Program, New Mexico Environment Department, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Division of Epidemiology and Disease Prevention, Indian Health Services, 5300 Homestead Rd., NE, Albuquerque, New Mexico; City of Albuquerque Division of Environmental Health, Albuquerque, New Mexico
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Paul Ettestad
Paul Ettestad
Division of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, P.O. Box 2087, Fort Collins, Colorado 80522; Zoonoses Program, New Mexico Department of Health, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Vector Control Program, New Mexico Environment Department, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Division of Epidemiology and Disease Prevention, Indian Health Services, 5300 Homestead Rd., NE, Albuquerque, New Mexico; City of Albuquerque Division of Environmental Health, Albuquerque, New Mexico
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Ted Brown
Ted Brown
Division of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, P.O. Box 2087, Fort Collins, Colorado 80522; Zoonoses Program, New Mexico Department of Health, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Vector Control Program, New Mexico Environment Department, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Division of Epidemiology and Disease Prevention, Indian Health Services, 5300 Homestead Rd., NE, Albuquerque, New Mexico; City of Albuquerque Division of Environmental Health, Albuquerque, New Mexico
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Russell E. Enscore
Russell E. Enscore
Division of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, P.O. Box 2087, Fort Collins, Colorado 80522; Zoonoses Program, New Mexico Department of Health, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Vector Control Program, New Mexico Environment Department, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Division of Epidemiology and Disease Prevention, Indian Health Services, 5300 Homestead Rd., NE, Albuquerque, New Mexico; City of Albuquerque Division of Environmental Health, Albuquerque, New Mexico
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Brad J. Biggerstaff
Brad J. Biggerstaff
Division of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, P.O. Box 2087, Fort Collins, Colorado 80522; Zoonoses Program, New Mexico Department of Health, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Vector Control Program, New Mexico Environment Department, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Division of Epidemiology and Disease Prevention, Indian Health Services, 5300 Homestead Rd., NE, Albuquerque, New Mexico; City of Albuquerque Division of Environmental Health, Albuquerque, New Mexico
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James Cheek
James Cheek
Division of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, P.O. Box 2087, Fort Collins, Colorado 80522; Zoonoses Program, New Mexico Department of Health, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Vector Control Program, New Mexico Environment Department, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Division of Epidemiology and Disease Prevention, Indian Health Services, 5300 Homestead Rd., NE, Albuquerque, New Mexico; City of Albuquerque Division of Environmental Health, Albuquerque, New Mexico
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Rudy Bueno
Rudy Bueno
Division of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, P.O. Box 2087, Fort Collins, Colorado 80522; Zoonoses Program, New Mexico Department of Health, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Vector Control Program, New Mexico Environment Department, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Division of Epidemiology and Disease Prevention, Indian Health Services, 5300 Homestead Rd., NE, Albuquerque, New Mexico; City of Albuquerque Division of Environmental Health, Albuquerque, New Mexico
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Joseph Targhetta
Joseph Targhetta
Division of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, P.O. Box 2087, Fort Collins, Colorado 80522; Zoonoses Program, New Mexico Department of Health, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Vector Control Program, New Mexico Environment Department, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Division of Epidemiology and Disease Prevention, Indian Health Services, 5300 Homestead Rd., NE, Albuquerque, New Mexico; City of Albuquerque Division of Environmental Health, Albuquerque, New Mexico
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John A. Montenieri
John A. Montenieri
Division of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, P.O. Box 2087, Fort Collins, Colorado 80522; Zoonoses Program, New Mexico Department of Health, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Vector Control Program, New Mexico Environment Department, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Division of Epidemiology and Disease Prevention, Indian Health Services, 5300 Homestead Rd., NE, Albuquerque, New Mexico; City of Albuquerque Division of Environmental Health, Albuquerque, New Mexico
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Kenneth L. Gage
Kenneth L. Gage
Division of Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, P.O. Box 2087, Fort Collins, Colorado 80522; Zoonoses Program, New Mexico Department of Health, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Vector Control Program, New Mexico Environment Department, Santa Fe, New Mexico; Division of Epidemiology and Disease Prevention, Indian Health Services, 5300 Homestead Rd., NE, Albuquerque, New Mexico; City of Albuquerque Division of Environmental Health, Albuquerque, New Mexico
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Yersinia pestis, the causative agent of plague, has been detected in fleas and mammals throughout the western United States. This highly virulent infection is rare in humans, surveillance of the disease is expensive, and it often was assumed that risk of exposure to Y. pestis is high in most of the western United States. For these reasons, some local health departments in these plague-affected regions have hesitated to undertake surveillance and other prevention activities. To aid in targeting limited public health resources, we created a fine-resolution human plague risk map for New Mexico, the state reporting more than half the human cases in the United States. Our GIS-based model included three landscape features—a nonlinear relationship with elevation, distance to water, and distance to the ecotone between Rocky Mountain/Great Basin open and closed coniferous woodlands—and yielded an overall accuracy of ≈ 80%. The model classified 17.25% of the state as posing significant risk of exposure to humans on privately or tribally owned land, which suggests that resource requirements for regular surveillance and control of plague could be effectively focused on < 20% of the state.
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-
1
Gage KL, Ostfeld RS, Olson JG, 1995. Nonviral vector-borne zoonoses associated with mammals in the United States. J Mammal 76 :695–715.
-
2
Gage KL, Kosoy MY, 2005. Natural history of plague: perspectives from more than a century of research. Annu Rev Entomol 50 :505–528.
-
3
Levy CE, Gage KL, 1999. Plague in the United States, 1995–1997. Infect Med 16 :54–64.
-
4
MMWR, 2002. Imported plague: New York City, 2002. MMWR 52 :725–728.
-
5
MMWR, 2006. Human plague—four states, 2006. MMWR 55 :1–3.
-
6
Craven RB, Maupin GO, Beard ML, Quan TJ, Barnes AM, 1993. Reported cases of human plague infections in the United States, 1970–1991. J Med Entomol 30 :758–761.
-
7
Barnes AM, 1982. Surveillance and control of bubonic plague in the United States. Symp Zool Soc Lond 50 :237–270.
-
8
Craven RB, Barnes AM, 1991. Plague and tularemia. Infect Dis Clin N Am 5 :165–175.
-
9
Mann JM, Martone WJ, Boyce JM, Kaufmann AF, Barnes AM, Weber NS, 1979. Endemic human plague in New Mexico: risk factors associated with infection. J Infect Dis 140 :397–401.
-
10
Dennis DT, 1998. Plague as an emerging disease. Scheld WM, Craig WA, Hughes JM, eds. Emerging Infections 2. Washington, D.C.: ASM Press.
-
11
Fielding AH, Bell JF, 1997. A review of methods for the assessment of prediction errors in conservation presence/absence models. Environ Conserv 24 :38–49.
-
12
Thompson BC, Crist PJ, Prior-Magee JS, Deitner RA, Garer DL, Hughes MA, 1996. Gap Analysis of Biological Diversity Conservation in New Mexico Using Geographical Information Systems. Final Gap Analysis Report. Las Cruces, NM: United States Department of the Interior, New Mexico Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit.
-
13
Akaike H, 1974. A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE Trans Automatic Control 19 :716–723.
-
14
Burnham KP, Anderson DR, 1988. Model Selection and Inference: A Practical Information-Theoretic Approach. New York: Springer-Verlag.
-
15
Guisan A, Zimmerman NE, 2000. Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecol Modeling 135 :147–186.
-
16
Gage KL, 1998. Plague. Colier L, Balows A, Sussman M, eds. Topley and Wilson’s Microbiology and Microbial Infections. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 885.
-
17
MacCracken JG, Uresk DW, Hansen RM, 1985. Rodent-vegetation relationships in southeastern Montana. Northwest Sci 59 :272–278.
-
18
Gage KL, Montenieri JA, Thomas RE, 1994. The role of predators in the ecology, epidemiology, and surveillance of plague in the United States. Proceedings of the 16th Vertebrate Pest Conference, Santa Clara, CA, March 1–3, 1994. Davis, CA: University of California at Davis, 200–206.
-
19
Salkeld DJ, Stapp P, 2006. Seroprevalence rates and transmission of plague (Yersinia pestis) in mammalian carnivores. Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis 6 :231–239.
-
20
Poland JD, 1989. Plague. Hoeprich PD, Jordan MC, eds. Infectious Diseases: A Modern Treatise of Infectious Processes, 4th ed. Philadelphia: J.B. Lippincott Company, 1050–1060.
-
21
Poland JD, Barnes AM, 1979. Plague. Steele JH, ed. CRC Handbook Series in Zoonoses. Section A: Bacterial, Rickettsial and Mycotic Diseases, Vol. I. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press Inc., 515–559.
-
22
Enscore RE, Biggerstaff BJ, Brown TL, Fulgham RF, Reynolds PJ, Engelthaler DM, Levy CE, Parmenter RR, Montenieri JA, Cheek JE, Grinnell RK, Ettestad PJ, Gage KL, 2002. Modeling relationships between climate and the frequency of human plague cases in the southwestern United States, 1960–1997. Am J Trop Med Hyg 66 :186–196.
-
23
Parmenter RR, Yadav EP, Parmenter CA, Ettestad P, Gage KL, 1999. Incidence of plague associated with increased winter–spring precipitation in New Mexico. Am J Trop Med Hyg 61 :814–821.
| Past two years | Past Year | Past 30 Days | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abstract Views | 707 | 641 | 15 |
| Full Text Views | 135 | 3 | 0 |
| PDF Downloads | 63 | 3 | 0 |