Volume 29, Issue 2
  • ISSN: 0002-9637
  • E-ISSN: 1476-1645



A mathematical model of Crimean hemorrhagic fever (CHF) which satisfactorily describes the real epidemic process has been developed. Estimates of the intensity of infection and probability of disease have been obtained on the basis of the model. The probability of disease for subjects who had been infected was found to be a stable value characterizing the infection. In CHF, this value is 0.2153; in other words, the ratio of inapparent to clinically overt forms is approximately 5:1. By means of the model the causes of the lack of a stable immune portion among the human populations in CHF foci have been elucidated.


Article metrics loading...

The graphs shown below represent data from March 2017
Loading full text...

Full text loading...

This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error