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| ABSTRACT |
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| INTRODUCTION |
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Sibship size and birth order have been linked to an increased risk for certain childhood leukemias and lymphomas in developed countries.15 Whether birth order and other familial characteristics are also associated with eBL is currently unknown, in part due to methodological limitations and inadequate cancer surveillance systems. Population-based cancer case-control studies in sub-Saharan Africa are rare, and only one study has been conducted to examine other eBL cofactors.14 Cancer registries are incomplete within many countries in Africa, limiting the interpretation of retrospective studies. However, progress has been made to address these research limitations in Nyanza Province, Kenya.
Nyanza Province is located in Western Kenya and, as a high-risk eBL region, has developed a pediatric cancer diagnostic and treatment center at Nyanza Provincial General Hospital (NPGH), thereby facilitating eBL case recognition and reporting. The Province has an average annual eBL incidence rate of 2.15 cases per 100,000 children less than 16 years of age.8 Similar to other studies,11 we found that eBL cases occur in rural areas of the Province,8 primarily in lowland areas around Lake Victoria where malaria transmission is chronic and intense. Within these malarious areas, however, we also detected statistically significant spatial case clustering, reinforcing the potential role of other co-factors. Certain environmental and socio-cultural factors are also likely to cluster within communities and small geographical areas. We conducted a population-based case-control study to explore whether household characteristics, including sibship relationships, could be linked to eBL and its non-random distribution in Nyanza Province. Findings from this exploratory study would be used to direct future eBL research and pediatric cancer awareness campaigns.
| MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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Case recruitment. All patients with histologically confirmed eBL at Nyanza Provincial General Hospital (NPGH) from February through July 2004, who were under 16 years of age, HIV negative, and resided in Nyanza Province for at least 2 years prior to the date of hospitalization were eligible for this study. Cases of eBL who were 16 years of age and older likely reflected a different etiology (HIV-associated), and therefore were not included in this study. The residential requirement limited study participants to those with environmental exposures in Nyanza Province, and was based on the maximum proposed latent period between the final triggering event and tumor development6 as well as the approximate time period for eBL occurrence in persons after immigration from low-risk to high-risk eBL regions.19
Control recruitment. We selected population-based controls through a multistage cluster-sampling scheme. Thirty Locations and one Sub-Location from each identified Location were selected based on Probability Proportionate to Size (PPS) in the first and second stages, respectively. Selected Sub-Locations were further divided into 1 to 20 Enumeration Areas (EA). A village, city, or town could contain more than one EA (100–150 households), but an EA could not cover more than one village. Therefore, a single EA was selected from each Sub-Location using PPS in our third sampling stage, resulting in 30 identified EAs. Within each EA, three controls were identified and recruited following a random selection process20 (one per household and frequency matched to eBL cases according to gender [male, female] and age [2–5, 6–10, 11–15 years of age] categories). Location, Sub-Location, and EA population estimates for children 2–15 years of age in 2004 were generated from 1999 census data provided by the Kenya Medical Research Institute/Wellcome Trust Collaborative Program, along with 1999 single-year age estimates and district-level population projections for 2004 obtained from the Kenyan Central Bureau of Statistics.
Data collection. A standardized questionnaire was developed and administered to both cases and controls. We completed interviews and collected observation data during a single home visit for controls. For cases, we conducted a hospital-based interview shortly after each child was admitted to the hospital. Home observation data was obtained after hospital discharge.
Analysis.
Data were entered into SAS statistical software program version 9.1 (Cary, NC) for analysis. Observations were weighted according to selection probabilities, response rates, and post-stratification weights. Each case was assigned a selection probability of one. Individual control selection probabilities reflected combined probabilities of the selected Location, Sub-Location, EA, household, and eligible child within a given household. Response rates were 97% and 98% for cases and controls, respectively. The final study sample included a greater proportion of controls residing in the highland region compared with cases (Figure 1
). Because exposure variables were known to differ in the highlands, we applied post-stratification weights to control responses so that these data conformed proportionately to the geographic distribution (lowland/highland) of cases (i.e., the proportion of cases in each region served as the desired distribution of controls). By dividing each individual weight by the average of control weights combined, control weights were subsequently normalized to maintain the original case-control subject ratio. Standard errors for all statistical estimates were adjusted to compensate for intraclass (within EA) correlation using appropriate procedures in SAS.
We generated crude and confounder adjusted odds ratios (OR) using unconditional logistic regression. Although age and gender were not statistically associated with eBL in our study population, these variables were known eBL risk factors, and were, therefore, included in multivariate models in an effort to control for residual confounding. Mothers tribe was dichotomized into Luo and other, and also included in multivariate models. All live births for the same mother and father were included in birth order and sibship size calculations. We used number of younger siblings (birth order subtracted from total sibship size) to control for sibship size in our analysis of birth order. Effect modification by age and gender was examined through inclusion of appropriate interaction terms to multivariate regression models. All subgroup analyses were conducted using STATA version 9 (College Station, TX) to maintain study design properties (i.e., proper standard error calculations). Results (including case and control counts in tables) reflect statistical adjustments for selection probabilities, response rates, and cluster sampling. As an exploratory study, we used an alpha level of 0.10 to assess Type I errors and generated 90% confidence intervals for odds ratios. This alpha level, given a small sample size and cluster sampling, allowed us to identify variables that may be of etiological, rather than only statistical, significance.
This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board at the University of Michigan and at Case Western Reserve University, University Hospitals of Cleveland, and by the Ethical Review Committee at the Kenya Medical Research Institute. We obtained written consent from parents or guardians of all study participants.
| RESULTS |
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Demographic information of cases and controls participating in the study are presented in Table 1
. Age and gender did not differ between cases and controls due to frequency matching, but tribe was statistically associated with participant status. Cases were 3.5 times more likely than controls to be Luo (OR=3.51, 90% CI: 1.14, 10.83) even after adjusting (with post-stratification weights) for over-sampling controls from highland regions where the Kisii tend to reside.
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We generated crude odds ratios as well as age, gender, and tribe-adjusted odds ratios for birth order, sibship size, family setting, sibling death, parental death, and mothers education (Table 2
). Endemic BL was not statistically associated with either birth order or total sibship size in the crude or adjusted analysis. Because birth order is linked to total sibship size, we used the number of younger siblings (total sibship size minus birth order) to simultaneously analyze both of these factors on eBL risk. Although eBL was not associated with birth order in these adjusted analyses, the impact of having younger siblings on eBL risk was noteworthy. In the multivariate analysis, odds ratios associated with having one and three or more younger siblings compared with none were 0.28 (90% CI: 0.09, 0.83) and 0.15 (90% CI: 0.03, 0.67) regardless of age, gender tribe, and birth order. The other younger sibling comparison (two younger siblings compared with none) was not significant at an alpha of 0.10 (OR=0.59, 90% CI: 0.16, 2.23); however, the odds ratio for each group compared with no younger siblings demonstrated a protective effect, suggesting that children with eBL were more likely than controls to be the last born in the family. The age distribution was similar for cases and controls in the total study population (F=0.01, P=0.94) as well as in each younger sibship category. The observed association with being last-born, therefore, was unlikely due to the residual confounding of age.
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| DISCUSSION |
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The mechanisms through which these variables might operate to increase the risk of eBL are currently unknown and will require further investigation. However, birth order often serves as a proxy for exposure to infectious diseases early in life. Guy de Thé postulated that early infection with EBV was a risk factor for eBL.1 Our data support this hypothesis, as last-born children would have greater chance of exposure to infectious agents shed by their older siblings and are thus more likely to be infected with EBV earlier in life than older children. Alternatively, co-infection with other pathogens at the time of primary EBV infection could also be a factor. Malaria-induced immunosuppression of EBV-specific T-cell immunosurveillance has been suggested as a mechanism that increases a childs risk of developing eBL.21–23 Last-born children may also experience greater competition for limited resources that result in inadequate nutrition. Clifford attributed increased risk of eBL among low families with low socioeconomic status (SES) to protein deficiency.24 Poor nutritional status is known to decrease immunosurveillance, which could increase the opportunity for an undetected oncogenic event to occur.2
The observed increased risk of living in a non-monogamous setting (polygamous family or living with relatives) as well as having a deceased parent may be similarly related to limited resources or increased exposure to infectious agents.2 The association between eBL and having a deceased parent differed by gender; death of parent increasing the risk of eBL among female but not male children. Loss of a parent typically results in a decrease of resources, and this may disproportionately affect female rather than male children.24 Due to the small number of cases (N=11), however, these findings should be interpreted cautiously. Future investigations of childs age as well as length of time since parents death may provide a better understanding of this association. Although we lacked information to substantiate the cause of parents death, all eBL cases were HIV negative, suggesting that HIV did not directly influence eBL incidence. However, the prevalence of HIV/AIDS is relatively high in our study area and has resulted in an increased rate of parental death and lower life expectancy.18
This is the first study to examine the role of birth order on eBL, and although being last-born was significant in our study, overall sibship size was not. This differs with an earlier study conducted by Morrow who detected an increase in eBL risk among children with a larger sibship size.25 Both studies suggest a role of sibship on eBL risk, and the discrepancy between our findings and Morrows may reflect different household and sibship definitions as well as sampling variability, including differences in sibship spacing and gender distribution. Nevertheless, birth order as a risk factor has been reported for other childhood cancers, including childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia and acute myeloid leukemia.15,26 In addition, a large multicenter US case-control study of Non-Hodgkins Lymphoma (NHL), found an increased risk for NHL, in particular diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, among last-born children, with a much smaller effect of large sibship size (Cozen, personal communication). Our study is limited by the small sample size. However, given that our results are consistent with other studies showing an increased risk for cancer associated with being last-born, a common etiologic mechanism is suggested.
Based on the physical structure of the home, cases and controls did not differ significantly by socio-economic status, a variable associated with eBL in other studies.9,27 We defined housing structure variables according to the building unit in which the study participant most often slept. Data on other units in the compound and other economic variables, including ownership of radios, bicycles, and vehicles, were not collected. Although we recruited eBL cases following hospital admission, there was no evidence to suggest that cases had better health care access compared with population-based controls. Many of the eBL cases reaching Nyanza Provincial hospital resided in isolated regions of the Province. The study population included three cases from Suba District, a region with limited infrastructure in the south-western region of Nyanza Province, and four cases from Migori District, with some of the most remote communities in Nyanza. Regardless of economic standing and transportation constraints, the majority of eBL cases presented directly at NGPH or was referred to the treatment center by a local health authority. Cases and controls appeared to be socio-economically comparable. Additional data and a more rigorous analysis would be needed to thoroughly examine the socio-economic variability between study groups. Data collected in this study reflected only crude estimates of SES status.
To examine multiple eBL co-factors, we conducted a population-based case-control study. Because NPGH is the regional referral and treatment center for all childhood cancers within the Province, this clearly facilitated case identification. However, because NPGH is also a local treatment hospital, using other hospitalized patients as a control population was not feasible. Because of these challenges, we opted to select controls from the healthy childhood population living in the Province within the hospital referral area. Despite the lack of a sampling frame, we were able to select controls randomly from the disease-free at-risk population in the study area using a multistage cluster-sampling (area probability) scheme. Limitations to our study design included the use of cluster sampling, which frequently leads to increases in standard error estimates and wider confidence intervals. Additionally, post-stratification weights were applied to all control values. These weights adjusted for a disproportional number of controls selected from the highland region of the Province compared with cases, thereby minimizing potential confounding due to tribe and related genetic and environmental factors associated with the Kisii who predominantly live in the highlands. Although our results were valid, the efficiency of our study was decreased. Application of stratification techniques in the design phase of the study could have greatly improved study efficiency and maximized data collection efforts. Future studies will include these design changes.
Exposure to chronic and intense malaria transmission has long been considered an eBL risk factor. In our previous investigations, however, we identified several high-risk clusters of eBL within the holodendemic regions of the Province.8 Morrow, based on his early work in Uganda, suggested that the distribution of eBL within holoendemic malaria areas was likely linked to small area variability in malaria transmission intensity.3 Although malaria transmission intensity varies significantly between the highland and lowland regions of the Province, current data is lacking regarding small area variability within the lowland areas. Despite potential transmission variability within these high-risk clusters, we proposed that other eBL co-factors, which may operate alone or along with malaria to further decrease antiviral immunity, are likely involved. This study allowed us to explore some of these additional co-factors, including other environmental and socio-cultural factors, which may also cluster at the local level.
Endemic BL has been cited as a classic model of multi-step tumorigenesis. The present paradigm for the etiology of eBL starts with early-age EBV infection, followed by subsequent repeated malaria infections that suppress EBV-specific immunity and culminates in tumorigenesis (reviewed in 13). We found that being last-born increased the risk for eBL. Although the mechanisms through which familial factors operate to increase eBL risk are currently unknown, early age of EBV infection, increased competition for resources and ultimately poor nutritional status, or impact of birth order on host immune responses may be contributing to increased risk. This initial work on family environmental factors will contribute to future eBL research and provides novel insight into multi-factorial eBL etiology.
Received April 10, 2007. Accepted for publication October 23, 2007.
Acknowledgments: The success of this project relied on the dedicated work of Juliana Otieno, Chief Pediatrician at Nyanza Provincial General Hospital, who diagnosed and treated the Burkitts cases included in this study. We also thank Dorine Omenah and Steve Obara at the Kenya Medical Research Institute in Kisumu, Kenya for their work in study participant recruitment and Brady West of the Center for Statistical Consultation and Research at the University of Michigan for his statistical advice. This manuscript was approved by the Director of the Kenya Medical Research Institute.
This project was supported by the Munn Idea Grant of the Comprehensive Cancer Center, Rackham Graduate School and the Center for Global Health at the University of Michigan, and from NIH Grant K08 AI051565 "Immunologic studies of endemic Burkitts lymphoma" (Moormann).
* Address correspondence to Ann M. Moormann, Center for Global Health and Diseases, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, 10900 Euclid Avenue, Wolstein Research Building 4-130, Cleveland OH, 44106-7286. E-mail: moorms{at}case.edu ![]()
Authors addresses: Jeanette J. Rainey, Global Immunization Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Mailstop E-05 1600 Clifton Road NE, Atlanta, GA 30333, Tel: (404) 639-8474, Fax: (404) 639-8676, E-mail: jkr7{at}cdc.gov. Rosemary Rochford, Department of Microbiology and Immunology, SUNY Upstate Medical University, 750 East Adams St., Syracuse, NY 13210, Tel: (315) 464-5468, Fax: (315) 464-4417, E-mail: rochforr{at}upstate.edu. Peter Odada Sumba, Center for Vector Biology & Control Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute PO Box 1578, Kisumu, Kenya, Tel: 254-57-202-2989, E-mail: POdada{at}kisian.mimcom.net. Dickens Kowuor, Center for Vector Biology & Control Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute, PO Box 1578, Kisumu, Kenya, Tel: 254-57-202-2989, E-mail: DKowuor{at}kisian.mimcom.net. Mark L. Wilson, Global Health, Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, 109 Observatory St., Room 2006, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-2029, Tel: (734) 936-0152, Fax: (734) 764-3192, E-mail: wilsonml{at}umich.edu. Ann M. Moormann, Center for Global Health & Diseases, Case Western Reserve University, 2103 Cornell Rd 4-130, Wolstein Research Building, Cleveland, OH 44106-7286, Tel: (216) 368-5144, Fax: (216) 368-4882, E-mail: moorms{at}case.edu.
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