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We investigated how temporal and spatial effects confound the functional relationship between pupal and adult populations of Aedes aegypti and thus the value of pupal numbers as predictors of dengue transmission risk in Kamphaeng Phet, Thailand. We found considerable seasonal shifts in productivity of key containers. Tires contained much less pupae in the dry season than in the wet season. Earthenware jars and cement tanks for washing purposes were consistent producers over the entire study period. Houses in the two villages, with approximately twice as many houses per unit area, were significantly more likely to have adults and pupae. No significant annual, seasonal, or spatial effects on the strength of correlations between pupal and adult populations were found. Except for 2 (of 16) occasions, pupal, and adult populations were correlated strongly in time and space. Our results are consistent with application of the pupal survey technique for assessing dengue transmission risk.
Received January 18, 2008. Accepted for publication May 18, 2008.
Acknowledgments: We thank the residents of Kon Tee and Na Bo Kham, Kamphaeng Phet, Thailand for participating in the surveys and allowing us to collect mosquitoes in their houses. The collaboration with the staff at the Public Health Offices of Kon Tee and Na Bo Kham and the local public health volunteers is greatly appreciated. We also thank the staff of the Kamphaeng Phet Entomology Laboratory for their assistance.
Financial support: This study was supported by grant AI-034533 from the National Institutes of Health
* Address correspondence to Constantianus J. M. Koenraadt, Laboratory of Entomology, Department of Plant Sciences, Wageningen University, PO Box 8031, 6700 EH, Wageningen, The Netherlands. E-mail: sander.koenraadt{at}wur.nl
Authors addresses: Constantianus J. M. Koenraadt, Laboratory of Entomology, Department of Plant Sciences, PO Box 8031, 6700 EH, Wageningen University, Waginingen, The Netherlands, E-mail: sander.koenraadt{at}wur.nl. Jared Aldstadt, Department of Geography, University at Buffalo, 105 Wilkeson Road, Buffalo, NY 14261, E-mail: geojared{at}buffalo.edu. Udom Kijchalao, Ratana Sithiprasasna, and James W. Jones, Department of Entomology, U.S. Army Medical Component, Armed Forces Research Institute of Medical Sciences, 315/6 Rajvithi Road, Bangkok 10400, Thailand, E-mails: rsithiprasasna{at}yahoo.com, udomk{at}afrims.org, and james.jones{at}afrims.org. Arthur Getis, Department of Geography, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA 92182, E-mail: arthur.getis{at}sdsu.edu. Thomas W. Scott, Department of Entomology, University of California, 1 Shields Avenue, Davis, CA 95616, E-mail: twscott{at}ucdavis.edu.
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